Columbia SC housing, as well as a forecast for the nation’s housing and economic outlook was presented recently by the National Association of Realtors (NAR) during their 2012 Realtors Conference and Expo.
NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun says he expects the market share of distressed sales to fall from about 25 percent in 2012 to 8 percent in 2014.
Mark Vitner, managing director and senior economist at Wells Fargo, one of the speakers at the NAR conference, compared distressed homes to an after-Christmas sale. Vitner stated, “most of the best stuff has been picked over, but make no mistake they’ll be with us for a while.”
Columbia SC Housing Recovery Expected to Continue
The Columbia SC housing recovery is expected to continue so long as credit does not further tighten and a fiscal cliff is avoided.
The rise in home prices should also stay. Yun predicted a 6 percent rise in the median existing-home price in 2012, with another 5.1 percent increase next year and comparable gains in 2014.
Existing-home sales are projected to move higher year-after-year: a 9 percent increase this year to 4.64 million, 5.05 million in 2013, and 5.3 million in 2014.
Mortgage interest rates are expected to eventually increase to an average of 4 percent next year, and inflationary pressure should cause rates to go up to 4.6 percent in 2014, according to the NAR forecast.
Yun added, “While we’re hopeful that something can be accomplished, the alternative would be a likely recession, so automatic spending cuts and tax increases need to be addressed quickly.”
The state of the housing market continues to improve though recovery remains “fragile,” according to the October Housing Scorecard released by the Obama administration. Signs of improvement include rising home prices, rising home sales, and ongoing efforts through the Making Home Affordable Program.
Bookmark our site and we’ll keep you up to date on all the trends affecting Columbia SC housing going forward into 2013 and 2014. Good or bad, we’ll bring it to you here.
September Columbia SC housing starts as well as U.S. overall housing starts blew past consensus estimates to nearly 900,000 units nationwide — a four-year high.
Though levels are still well below the 1.5 million historical average, this report adds to other upbeat news and confirms our belief that after seven years of painful contraction, the Columbia SC housing market is on the mend.
While some areas are improving more than others, overall, most economic indicators point to a confirmed increase in the Columbia SC housing market.
Columbia SC home sales are typically strong during the spring and summer, mainly because a lot families are trying to relocate between school years. But fall is a great time to buy a Columbia SC home as vacations have wound down, and most potential home buyers want to be in their new home in time for the holidays.
Why Buyers Want a Columbia SC Home in the Fall
40 percent of survey respondents like fall for homebuying because of the “back to school” and starting fresh mentality that hits when September and October come around. Twenty percent cite wanting to be in their new home in time for the holidays. And 10 percent want to take advantage of the tax benefit of buying and owning a home before the end of the year.
For the same reason sellers want to sell and close on their home sale before the end of the year, buyers can often times find better deals during the fall due to those sellers being more anxious to sell by year-end.
How the findings will affect what happens this fall remains to be seen.
The National Association of Realtors reports pending home sales in August 2012 declined after reaching a two-year peak. But the August figures are higher than August 2011.
Lawrence Yun , NAR chief economist, said some volatility can be expected in the monthly readings. “The performance in month-to-month contract signings has been uneven with ongoing shortages of lower priced inventory in much of the country, and across most price ranges in the West, but activity has remained at notably higher levels this year,” Yun said.
If you’d like to take advantage of the great fall home market in the Columbia SC area, give us a call or contact us through our site. We’d be happy to help you find a new Columbia SC home in time for the holidays.
Tight lending standards are stunting Columbia SC home sales and holding back job creation. This conclusion was reached by The National Association of Realtors in a survey they conducted with real estate agents.
According to NAR chief economist Lawrence Yun, “Sensible lending standards would permit 500,000 to 700,000 additional home sales in the coming year.” He also said, “The economic activity created through these additional home sales would add 250,000 to 350,000 jobs in related trades and services almost immediately, and without a cost impact.”
The findings? Lenders take too long with applications, requiring excessive information and preferring only interested homebuyers with high credit scores.
Survey respondents reported that 53 percent of loans went to borrowers with credit scores above 740 in August, a sharp contrast when compared with the fact that 41 percent of homeowners with the same credit held these mortgages from 2001 to 2004.
According to NAR, about three-fourths of loans bought by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac went to borrowers with credit scores of 740 or above.
The trade group observed that loan applications backed by the Federal Housing Administration showed an average FICO score of 669 in May, significantly higher than 656 for loans originated in 2001.
While looser lending standards can threaten default rates, NAR brought attention to improving loan performance has been improving in recent years.
Yun pointed out that since 2009, the 12-month default rates have been abnormally low, with Fannie Mae default rates averaging 0.2 percent and Freddie Mac rates averaging 0.1 percent. NAR stated this is notable considering higher unemployment in the timeframe.
In 2007, the twelve-month default rates peaked to 3.0 percent for Fannie Mae loans and 2.5 percent for Freddie Mac loans, according to NAR.
Home sales this year are projected to rise 8 to 10 percent. Although welcoming, this still represents a sub-par performance of about 4.6 million sales.