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Home Buyers Find Bidding Wars Again
Home buyers nationwide are being caught by surprise as the spring selling season swings into high gear. Bidding wars are back!
Many buyers are finding themselves competing for the same house. Unlike the bidding wars of the past, these recent bidding wars are the result of a shortage of inventory.
Sellers, meanwhile, are not seeing huge price increases or hefty profits, like some did during the boom years when prices were going through the roof. Competitive bidding in this current enviornment is being caused by tight inventories. More evidence that housing demand is starting to pick up again after a six-year slump.
According to a Wall Street Journal quarterly survey, the inventory of homes listed for sale declined sharply in all 28 markets they track. At the height of the housing crisis in 2008, there was an 11.1 months’ supply of home for sale. In March, there was a 6.3 months’ supply. Real estate agents normally consider a market to be balanced when there is a six month supply of homes for sale.
An index recently reported by the National Association of Realtors measuring the number of contracts signed to purchase previously owned homes rose in March to its highest level in nearly two years, up 12.8% from a year ago, and 4.1% from February.
Market inventory varies in different parts of the country, but the general consensus nationwide is, the number of houses for sale is edging down.
Inventories seem to be declinging for several reasons. Some sellers have taken their homes off the market to wait for prices to increase and market conditions to improve. Investors, meanwhile, have been outmaneuvering consumers for the best properties, often making cash offers that are quickly accepted by anxious sellers.
Improvements are obviously investments in your home, and most homeowners have a list of things they’d like to do to their home to make it their dream home. Things like: gutting the kitchen, reconfiguring the bathroom or repainting the entire outside of the home.
Some economists say inventory levels are artificially low because Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and the nation’s largest banks have been slow to list hundreds of thousands of foreclosed homes they own. Lenders slowed down the foreclosures after record-keeping abuses came to light 18 months ago.
If those same banks and lenders step up their efforts to unload their properties, inventories could quickly rise, putting pressure on prices again.
Even with bidding wars popping up again, pushing prices higher in some areas, many homes are still selling for prices much lower than they were a few years ago. Meanwhile, rents are rising at a time when mortgage levels have fallen to or near record lows. Many renters are finding rates so low they can now afford a house that was out of their price range just a year or two ago.
Housing markets face another danger. More than 11 million homeowners owe more than their home is worth, causing the trade-up market to completely stall. When homeowners can’t sell their home, let along come up with the down payment for their next home, move up buying tends to dry up.
Mortgage lending standards remain very tough. Many “deals” fall apart because homes won’t appraise for the price buyers have agreed to pay, and sellers are not willing to come down even more than they already have.
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Mortgage Rates Remain Near Record Lows
Mortgage rates have dipped to near record lows again, keeping home buying and refinancing very affordable.
Last week, mortgage buyer Freddit Mac reported the rate on the 30-year fixed rate loan had dropped to 3.88%, down from 3.9% a week ago. The rate hit 3.87% back in February, the lowest long term mortgage rate in history.
The average on the 15-year fixed rate mortgage dipped to 3.12%, down from 3.13% the previous week. The national average hit an all-time low of 3.11% just two weeks ago. Average rates do not include extra fees, aka points, which most borrowers have to pay in order to get the lowest rates. One point equals 1 percent of the loan amount.
So far, record low mortgage rates have done very little to boost home sales. Analysts suspect that a record warm winter may have something to do with that, as many sales that would have normally taken place during the spring buying season, actually took place in January and February.
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Spring Cleaning For Your Finances
With Spring in full force most everywhere now, and tax season once again behind us, now is a good time to do some “spring cleaning for your finances” to help you eliminate some of the paper clutter, and get better organized.
Here are some tips on Spring Cleaning for Your Finances and your office record keeping…
We welcome your comments and suggestions below.
Despite the recession and declines in home prices, Americans still view homeownership as being important to the economy and the American family, according to the “Housing 360 Survey” conducted among more than 3,005 homeowners and renters across the U.S.
“We thought people would be soured after watching home values fall but instead we found the typical American still places high value on homeownership,” said Frank Anton, CEO of Hanley Wood, LLC, the nation’s premier media and data research company serving the housing and construction industries. “We found this holds across all demographic groups and across the country, even in hard-hit places like Nevada and Arizona where there have been 50 percent or more declines in value. The increase in the rise of rental rates in many markets is one factor driving people to consider buying.”
The survey found that despite the recession and housing crisis, homeownership is still very important—that both renters and homeowners feel it is a good time to buy a home and 19 percent of homeowners and 29 percent of renters are considering buying a home in the next two years. In fact, the survey findings support that up to two million potential home buying consumers are waiting to jump into the market when the time is right.
The “Housing 360 Survey” answers why renters and homeowners are not buying. For homeowners, there is no urgency to buy, and given the turmoil in the markets, many of them are happy where they are. For renters, there is also no urgency to purchase a home. There are major problems they are facing: First, they have the challenges of being able to qualify for a mortgage and raise the down payment. And second, they have concerns about the economy and their jobs.
The survey covers 70 questions relating to Americans’ decision-making process and attitudes on homeownership, renting, remodeling, financing, home buying, gasoline prices, household relationships, and retirement planning. Sixty two percent of respondents were first-time homeowners. The survey found 89 percent of owners and 59 percent of renters feel that homeownership is important to the American family while 87 percent of owners and 73 percent of renters feel homeownership is important to the economy overall.
Some significant findings in the survey include:
- Now is a good time to buy. 72 percent of owners and 59 percent of renters think now is a good or very good time to buy.
- New and existing homes both attractive. 29 percent of owners and 12 percent of renters would prefer to buy a new home. 34 percent of owners and 41 percent of renters would prefer to buy an existing home. People prefer new homes because they are new and there is less maintenance. They prefer existing homes because they are more affordable and they want to live in an existing community.
- Renting is a preferred choice for many. People rent for financial reasons, for convenience and for flexibility.
- Doubling up trends increased. 30 percent of respondents are “doubling up” – living with adult children or parents.
- Now is a good time to remodel. 42 percent of owners say now is a good time to remodel. Top remodeling priorities are maintenance and energy efficiency. Most homeowners will pay for remodeling from personal savings.
- Staying put in retirement. 60 percent of homeowners plan to stay in their current home for their entire retirement.
All data is courtesy of the “Hanley Wood Housing 360 Survey”.
It is important that a home buyer understand all of the costs involved in purchasing a home. These costs go way beyond the purchase price. Inspections, fees, appraisals, and on and on and on…. the terminology used in real estate can be extremely confusing for home buyers. What’s more, who pays for these things is even harder to figure out.
Real estate agents, title company officers, and mortgage providers deal with real estate transactions on a daily basis, so they understand this language. When it comes to what is known as the ‘closing costs’ it becomes even harder to understand for the average home buyer. Because closing costs can be, and often are, negotiated between buyer and seller, there are no clear-cut answers. Let’s start by taking a look at the closing costs that can appear on your closing statement:
- Upfront, prepaid, interest points
- Appraisal costs
- Title transfer costs
- Real estate agent fees
- Loan origination fees
- Property taxes
- Homeowner’s insurance
These closing costs are simply the extenuating costs of purchasing a home. But, they can’t just appear out of nowhere when it comes time to write the check. That’s where the ‘HUD’ comes in.
All closing costs must be disclosed on a form called the HUD-1 Settlement Statement. The HUD-1 must be signed by all parties in the transaction before it is legally considered complete. In most cases, the loan officer for the buyer and the buyer’s agent will review the HUD-1 with the buyer so there are no surprises when it comes to signing it at the closing table.
Included in the HUD-1 Settlement Statement are also any credits due to the buyer, such as the down payment amount, tax credit from the seller, buyer closing costs the seller has negotiated to pay, as well as any money held in escrow on behalf of the buyer, such as the earnest money deposit.
This is a long, long list of money in and money out. Many of the terms may be confusing to you, the buyer. Don’t be afraid to have your agent explain, in detail, each and every item and provide supporting documentation to help you understand. A good real estate agent and loan officer will provide a true copy of the estimated HUD-1 prior to your closing. You may even want to obtain a blank HUD-1 form to read through just so you are prepared to ask questions before the figures get filled in.
Closing costs are often said by home buyers to be the most confusing part of the entire home buying process; even more confusing than inspections, offers, and contracts. These costs deserve individual attention from both you and your buyer’s agent. Be sure to insist on being fully informed as to the detail of each cost. After all, you are footing the bill for this large investment of a home and you deserve to know everything that involves your money.